Sparta Selemet 1-2 Politeh Chişinau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
58%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-4.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
58%
Away Win
49%
+9.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Politeh Chişinau EU Bookmakers 54%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.97/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Politeh Chişinau 4-1 HT 3-1 Sparta Selemet MOLD
20.07.2025 Sparta Selemet 0-0 HT 0-0 Politeh Chişinau MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
1-2
AWAY Politeh Chişinau
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs Politeh Chişinau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Politeh Chişinau edged past Sparta Selemet 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Politeh Chişinau as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 48% of the ball to Politeh Chişinau's 52%, shots finished 2-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Politeh Chişinau led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sparta Selemet and 2.00 for Politeh Chişinau.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs Politeh Chişinau?

Sparta Selemet 1-2 Politeh Chişinau in the Moldova - National League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs Politeh Chişinau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Politeh Chişinau win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 22%, draw 20%, Politeh Chişinau 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Politeh Chişinau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Politeh Chişinau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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