CSF Balti 1-3 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 62%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.84/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.82
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zimbru
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 2-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
19.07.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
18.05.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
12.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
28.09.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-0 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
04.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
1-3
AWAY Zimbru
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru beat CSF Balti 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zimbru as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CSF Balti had 43% of the ball to Zimbru's 57%, shots finished 3-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CSF Balti and 2.00 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Zimbru?

CSF Balti 1-3 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 22%, draw 23%, Zimbru 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zimbru), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zimbru) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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