CSF Balti 1-1 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 19 Jul 2025

📅19/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.4pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 66%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.09/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.22
+33% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zimbru
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 3-1 HT 1-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
12.04.2025 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
28.09.2024 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-0 HT 1-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
04.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 4-0 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
30.03.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 3-0 HT 1-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
05.11.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 0-1 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
1-1
AWAY Zimbru
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti and Zimbru shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Zimbru at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, CSF Balti had 51% of the ball to Zimbru's 49%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zimbru led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSF Balti and 2.17 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Zimbru?

CSF Balti 1-1 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 19/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zimbru win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 25%, draw 23%, Zimbru 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zimbru), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zimbru) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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