Rosenborg vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosenborg v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
Rosenborg vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Rosenborg
NOR
1-3
HT 0-1
Valerenga
NOR
3-0
HT 2-0
Valerenga
NOR
0-4
HT 0-2
Rosenborg
NOR
Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga — Actual Match Statistics
Rosenborg nicked a narrow win over Valerenga 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Rosenborg had 75% of the ball to Valerenga's 25%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.32 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rosenborg's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Rosenborg and 1.33 for Valerenga.
What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Rosenborg 1-0 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 45%, draw 21%, Valerenga 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.