Sandefjord 1-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.75
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.4
X/1
10%
6.92
X/2
18%
5.15
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.0
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 11% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.20/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.85
-20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.2 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tromsö
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.43
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
473 Passes 306
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
22.09.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
03.07.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
16.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.07.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-0
AWAY Tromsö
1.02 xG 1.97
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 25
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
400 Passes 488
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
3 Box Touches 48
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord edged past Tromsö 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 44% of the ball to Tromsö's 56%, shots finished 6-25, expected goals 1.02 to 1.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tromsö.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sandefjord and 1.50 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Tromsö?

Sandefjord 1-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 32%, draw 27%, Tromsö 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ BTTS Yes
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