Tromsö 0-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
15%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.37
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.58
X/X
8%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.75
2/2
11%
6.37
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.75 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
2.02/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.77
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
21.2 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.63 xG 0.81
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
03.07.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.08.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
16.04.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
30.07.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 3-0 HT 2-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
26.06.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
0-1
AWAY Sandefjord
0.70 xG 1.65
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
480 Passes 456
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord nicked a narrow win over Tromsö 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 51% of the ball to Sandefjord's 49%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.70 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tromsö and 0.50 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Tromsö 0-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 52%, draw 22%, Sandefjord 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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