Viking 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.98
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
7.77
2-3 Goals
37%
2.35
4-5 Goals
30%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
4.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.06
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
4%
13.3
X/1
23%
4.87
X/2
8%
10.35
X/X EV+ ✓
17%
7.45
2/1
7%
17.55
2/2
12%
6.53
2/X
8%
14.45
Value flag · X/X at 7.45 — our 17% vs market 10.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.2pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.2pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.5pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
2.02/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.51
+31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
35.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
25.7 Crosses 16.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 384
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
01.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.11.2023 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
11.06.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-3 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
16.10.2022 Viking Viking 0-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
03.04.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
0-0
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.96 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
427 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
41 Box Touches 18
47 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking and Sarpsborg 08 fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Viking at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 59% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 41%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.96 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viking and 0.67 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Viking 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Viking 44%, draw 29%, Sarpsborg 08 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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