Sarpsborg 08 1-2 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.94
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.76
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
9%
6.58
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
9%
5.84
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.22/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.43
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.2
20.3 Crosses 23.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Viking
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.11.2023 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
11.06.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-3 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
16.10.2022 Viking Viking 0-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
03.04.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
31.10.2021 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08
1-2
AWAY Viking
1.31 xG 1.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
381 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
4 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Viking made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 52% of the ball to Viking's 48%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.33 for Viking.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?

Sarpsborg 08 1-2 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 36%, draw 25%, Viking 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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