Haugesund 0-3 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Oct 2024

Haugesund
0-3 HT 0-1
Molde
📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Haugesund vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
53%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.48
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
7%
8.88
X/2
21%
4.26
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.32
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
23%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
53%
Away Win
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haugesund v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haugesund EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 56%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.09/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/1.14
-32% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.6
18.6 Crosses 17.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Haugesund vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haugesund
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Molde
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Molde Molde 2-1 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
03.09.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
25.06.2023 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
21.08.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 0-1 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR
17.07.2022 Molde Molde 1-0 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
12.12.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Molde Molde NOR

Haugesund 0-3 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haugesund
0-3
AWAY Molde
1.66 xG 3.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 11
416 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 45
26 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haugesund vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde swept aside Haugesund 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Haugesund had 58% of the ball to Molde's 42%, shots finished 16-20, expected goals 1.66 to 3.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haugesund and 1.50 for Molde.

What was the final score of Haugesund vs Molde?

Haugesund 0-3 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haugesund vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Haugesund 21%, draw 26%, Molde 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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