Lilleström 3-0 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.47
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 27% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
8%
10.35
X/X
12%
5.12
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
13%
8.12
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
30.0 Crosses 15.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Odds BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
422 Passes 351
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Odds BK Odds BK 2-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
26.11.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 4-4 HT 1-3 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
12.05.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
30.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 0-2 HT 0-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
17.07.2022 Odds BK Odds BK 1-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
18.09.2021 Odds BK Odds BK 2-3 HT 2-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
3-0
AWAY Odds BK
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
342 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström ran out comfortable winners over Odds BK 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lilleström had 52% of the ball to Odds BK's 48%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Lilleström and 1.83 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Odds BK?

Lilleström 3-0 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 48%, draw 25%, Odds BK 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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