HamKam 1-0 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
21%
4.11
X/2
7%
10.25
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
14%
7.79
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.30/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.66
-27% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.0 Crosses 15.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
295 Passes 340
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 1-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
30.07.2022 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
24.04.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 2-2 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
21.04.2014 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
06.10.2013 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR1
05.07.2013 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 5-1 HT 2-1 HamKam HamKam NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
1-0
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.18 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
319 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam squeezed past Kristiansund BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HamKam as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, HamKam had 49% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 51%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kristiansund BK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for HamKam and 1.67 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Kristiansund BK?

HamKam 1-0 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split HamKam 51%, draw 23%, Kristiansund BK 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HamKam) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
27 Oct 2024
00:00 Lilleström vs Odds BK Analysis →
19:00 Haugesund vs Molde Analysis →
19:00 Sandefjord vs KFUM Oslo Analysis →
19:00 Sarpsborg 08 vs Viking Analysis →
21:15 Brann vs Tromsö Analysis →