Brann 4-0 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
16%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.9
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.6
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
8%
11.55
X/X
13%
6.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.1
2/2
10%
8.66
2/X
8%
17.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
2.07/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.80
-24% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
22.2 Crosses 12.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tromsö
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 1.27
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
448 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 2-4 HT 0-2 Brann Brann NOR
24.09.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
19.09.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
10.07.2021 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
25.08.2019 Brann Brann 2-3 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
4-0
AWAY Tromsö
2.25 xG 1.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
543 Passes 280
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 18
7 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brann vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann ran out comfortable winners over Tromsö 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brann had 63% of the ball to Tromsö's 37%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.25 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Brann and 1.83 for Tromsö.

What was the final score of Brann vs Tromsö?

Brann 4-0 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Brann 52%, draw 26%, Tromsö 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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