Stromsgodset 1-2 Kristiansund BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.06
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
13%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.93
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
21%
4.28
X/2
12%
11.25
X/X
9%
6.75
2/1
8%
19.65
2/2
7%
8.34
2/X
9%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Kristiansund BK EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.94/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.68
-23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
26.2 Crosses 15.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kristiansund BK
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.02 xG 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
324 Passes 265
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
34 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
01.05.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-0 HT 3-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOK
28.04.2024 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 2-2 HT 0-2 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
18.09.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 4-1 HT 2-0 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
16.05.2022 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK 0-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
12.09.2021 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-2 HT 0-1 Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-2
AWAY Kristiansund BK
1.94 xG 1.90
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
529 Passes 288
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 19
34 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kristiansund BK nicked a narrow win over Stromsgodset 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stromsgodset at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 63% of the ball to Kristiansund BK's 37%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.94 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Stromsgodset and 0.83 for Kristiansund BK.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK?

Stromsgodset 1-2 Kristiansund BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Kristiansund BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 51%, draw 23%, Kristiansund BK 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stromsgodset) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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