Molde vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Molde v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals
Molde vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Molde
NOR
1-0
HT 1-0
Haugesund
NOR
0-1
HT 0-1
Molde
NOR
1-0
HT 0-0
Haugesund
NOR
Molde 2-1 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics
Molde edged past Haugesund 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Molde had 56% of the ball to Haugesund's 44%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.24 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Molde's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Molde and 0.33 for Haugesund.
What was the final score of Molde vs Haugesund?
Molde 2-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Molde vs Haugesund?
Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Molde 65%, draw 16%, Haugesund 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.