Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Arka Gdynia v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals
Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Arka Gdynia 3-1 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics
Arka Gdynia took care of Lech Poznan 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We leaned Lech Poznan at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 50% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
On the day, Lech Poznan saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 2.08 to 2.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Arka Gdynia against 0.50 for Lech Poznan.
Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznan Result & Final Score
Arka Gdynia 3 - 1 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arka Gdynia 26%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.