Korona Kielce 1-4 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 9 Nov 2025

Korona Kielce
1 - 4 HT 1 - 2
Rakow Czestochowa
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.12
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.69
Over
44%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.54
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.28
6+
4%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.28
1/2
3%
32.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
13%
5.78
X/2
14%
5.31
X/X
19%
4.13
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.76
2/X
5%
13.9
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Korona Kielce v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Korona Kielce The Market 38%
Signal
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
Average Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.49
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
208 Passes 364
66% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
24.11.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
13.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
07.05.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.10.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 1-4 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1 - 4
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
1.23 xG 3.09
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
321 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Rakow Czestochowa made light work of Korona Kielce 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Rakow Czestochowa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Rakow Czestochowa saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.23 to 3.09.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Korona Kielce against 1.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Result & Final Score

Korona Kielce 1 - 4 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 33%, draw 29%, Rakow Czestochowa 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5
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