Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pogon Szczecin v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pogon Szczecin 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok found just enough to beat Pogon Szczecin 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%) came home.
Under the surface, Jagiellonia Bialystok saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 33-11, expected goals 3.69 to 1.45 — on chances, Pogon Szczecin could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Pogon Szczecin against 1.33 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Result & Final Score
Pogon Szczecin 1 - 2 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 42%, draw 26%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.