Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Nov 2024

Rakow Czestochowa
1-1 HT 1-0
Korona Kielce
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.0
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.1
X/1
22%
3.52
X/2
6%
11.9
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
8%
10.7
2/X
5%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rakow Czestochowa v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.88/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.44
-3% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.7 Crosses 19.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 Passes 275
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
34 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.03.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
07.05.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.10.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
23.06.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
23.11.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-0 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL

Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
0.48 xG 0.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
348 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa and Korona Kielce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rakow Czestochowa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 55% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 45%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.48 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.67 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce?

Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 56%, draw 24%, Korona Kielce 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
24 Nov 2024
14:15 Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec Analysis →
19:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice Analysis →