Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.17
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.97
X/2
11%
6.38
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.51
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 34%
-16% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.45/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
-12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
23.7 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stal Mielec
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.68 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
329 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.08.2023 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2-0 HT 2-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.02.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.07.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
20.03.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 1-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.09.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
1-2
AWAY Stal Mielec
1.49 xG 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
436 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec squeezed past Radomiak Radom 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Radomiak Radom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 57% of the ball to Stal Mielec's 43%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.49 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.00 for Stal Mielec.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec?

Radomiak Radom 1-2 Stal Mielec in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Stal Mielec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radomiak Radom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 42%, draw 26%, Stal Mielec 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Radomiak Radom) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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