Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.66
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.19
X/2
7%
6.19
X/X
17%
3.57
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.74
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.62/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.33
+7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.4 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.92 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
402 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-3 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
05.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
31.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
10.09.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-3 HT 2-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
09.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
3.51 xG 0.39
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
610 Passes 283
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze nicked a narrow win over Piast Gliwice 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gornik Zabrze as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 66% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 34%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.51 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Gornik Zabrze's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 0.83 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Gornik Zabrze 1-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 41%, draw 32%, Piast Gliwice 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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