Kocaelispor 1-0 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

Kocaelispor
1-0 HT 1-0
Galatasaray
📅09/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.95
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
10.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
21.8
1/X
6%
19.0
X/1
5%
12.9
X/2
24%
4.01
X/X
7%
6.3
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
31%
1.81
2/X
7%
16.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
16%
+2.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.9pp
63%
Away Win
64%
-1.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kocaelispor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 69%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.21/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.74
+42% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
225 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
– Crosses 19.6
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
The Meetings
22.02.2009 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-5 HT 1-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
21.09.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-4 HT 1-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
01.03.2003 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-1 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
13.09.2002 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
28.04.2002 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
15.01.2002 Galatasaray Galatasaray 5-1 HT 3-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL

Kocaelispor 1-0 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
1-0
AWAY Galatasaray
0.94 xG 0.65
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
205 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 32
5 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor edged past Galatasaray 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Galatasaray carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 34% of the ball to Galatasaray's 66%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.94 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kocaelispor and 2.67 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray?

Kocaelispor 1-0 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 18%, draw 20%, Galatasaray 63%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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