Samsunspor 1-0 Eyüpspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Nov 2025

📅09/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 34% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.23
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
16%
4.35
X/2
7%
9.51
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
8%
23.1
2/2
9%
7.44
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.68/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.17
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -82% / +35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
17.5 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 0.97
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
257 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Samsunspor Samsunspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor TSL
08.12.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 3-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
22.01.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-4 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
20.08.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
17.04.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
22.11.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
1-0
AWAY Eyüpspor
2.06 xG 0.07
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
400 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 8
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor squeezed past Eyüpspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Samsunspor had 62% of the ball to Eyüpspor's 38%, shots finished 17-2, expected goals 2.06 to 0.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Samsunspor's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Eyüpspor.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor?

Samsunspor 1-0 Eyüpspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Eyüpspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 56%, draw 23%, Eyüpspor 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Samsunspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
9 Nov 2025
14:30 Fatih Karagümrük vs Konyaspor Analysis →
17:00 Kocaelispor vs Galatasaray Analysis →
20:00 Fenerbahçe vs Kayserispor Analysis →