Eyüpspor 3-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
16%
5.82
X/2
15%
5.56
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
3.62
2/X
10%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
1.40/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.04
+13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.8 Crosses 18.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 1.56
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
380 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.01.2023 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-4 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
20.08.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
17.04.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
22.11.2021 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
10.02.2019 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor S2-B
22.09.2018 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Samsunspor Samsunspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
3-0
AWAY Samsunspor
1.79 xG 1.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
330 Passes 219
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor cruised past Samsunspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Eyüpspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 58% of the ball to Samsunspor's 42%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eyüpspor and 2.00 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor?

Eyüpspor 3-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 39%, draw 29%, Samsunspor 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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