Kayserispor 2-0 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.49
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.47
X/2
13%
6.02
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.99
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.56/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.21
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.3 Crosses 19.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.12 xG 1.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
433 Passes 352
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
06.11.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.05.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-4 HT 0-2 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
28.12.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 3-1 HT 2-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
07.03.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-1 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.10.2021 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 6-3 HT 3-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
2-0
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.73 xG 0.42
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 10
178 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 79%
8 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor saw off Alanyaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Kayserispor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 39% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 61%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 2.67 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor?

Kayserispor 2-0 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 32%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alanyaspor), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alanyaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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