Başakşehir FK 3-0 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 29% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.2
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
23%
3.85
X/2
8%
9.67
X/X
11%
5.02
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
10%
7.84
2/X
5%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.60
+10% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.1 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hatayspor
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.88 xG 1.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
423 Passes 344
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.02.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TÜK
10.12.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
07.11.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.04.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
05.12.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-3 HT 0-3 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
3-0
AWAY Hatayspor
2.88 xG 0.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 292
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK cruised past Hatayspor 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 51% of the ball to Hatayspor's 49%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.88 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.83 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor?

Başakşehir FK 3-0 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 55%, draw 22%, Hatayspor 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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