Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hatayspor v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals
Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Hatayspor
TSL
3-3
HT 1-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
3-0
HT 0-0
Hatayspor
TSL
0-3
HT 0-3
Başakşehir FK
TSL
1-5
HT 0-3
Hatayspor
TSL
Hatayspor 1-2 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics
Başakşehir FK squeezed past Hatayspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hatayspor had 56% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 44%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hatayspor.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hatayspor and 2.00 for Başakşehir FK.
What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK?
Hatayspor 1-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Başakşehir FK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 29%, draw 29%, Başakşehir FK 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.