Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kasımpaşa v Samsunspor — Team-Based Signals
Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
4-2
HT 2-0
Kasımpaşa
TSL
2-1
HT 1-1
Samsunspor
T1L
2-1
HT 0-0
Kasımpaşa
T1L
0-1
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
T1L
0-1
HT 0-1
Kasımpaşa
T1L
Kasımpaşa 1-0 Samsunspor — Actual Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa squeezed past Samsunspor 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Kasımpaşa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Kasımpaşa had 38% of the ball to Samsunspor's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.31 to 0.83.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Samsunspor led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.60 for Samsunspor.
What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa 1-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 41%, draw 24%, Samsunspor 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.