Sivasspor 2-3 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Dec 2024

Sivasspor
2-3 HT 1-2
Galatasaray
📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Sivasspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.18
Draw
25%
5.15
Away
51%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.03
2-3 Goals
43%
2.2
4-5 Goals
25%
2.5
6+ Goals
11%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
15.25
1/2
6%
22.55
1/X
9%
25.0
X/1
11%
23.0
X/2
25%
4.17
X/X
8%
11.2
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
1.59
2/X
7%
26.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
11%
+12.9pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.2pp
51%
Away Win
72%
-21.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sivasspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 77%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.66/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.04
+77% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.6
18.7 Crosses 22.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Sivasspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Galatasaray
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.03 xG 1.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 438
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 6-1 HT 2-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
11.01.2024 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
20.05.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
29.12.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
01.05.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-3 HT 1-1 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
13.12.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL

Sivasspor 2-3 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
2-3
AWAY Galatasaray
1.72 xG 2.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
304 Passes 321
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Sivasspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sivasspor had 49% of the ball to Galatasaray's 51%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.72 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sivasspor and 2.17 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Galatasaray?

Sivasspor 2-3 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 24%, draw 25%, Galatasaray 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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