Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
21%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.1pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.19
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.4 Crosses 15.8
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.41
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
199 Passes 326
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.84 xG 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
267 Passes 417
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ edged past Nacional Potosi 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 41% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 59%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.84 to 1.50.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosi?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 53%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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