Bolivar 4-1 The Strongest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY The Strongest EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.10/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.33
-1% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
10.7 Crosses 13.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY The Strongest
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.41 xG 1.41
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
293 Passes 157
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
11.03.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
26.02.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 4-4 HT 2-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
24.07.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-0 HT 2-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
18.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 3-2 HT 2-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
13.10.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 4-4 HT 2-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-1
AWAY The Strongest
1.40 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 200
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs The Strongest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar ran out comfortable winners over The Strongest 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bolivar had 61% of the ball to The Strongest's 39%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.40 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bolivar and 2.33 for The Strongest.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs The Strongest?

Bolivar 4-1 The Strongest in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs The Strongest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 46%, draw 27%, The Strongest 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar)
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