Spartak Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.68
No
56%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
45%
+4.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.27
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 3-1 HT 2-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1-3
AWAY Slavia Sofia
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia beat Spartak Varna 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Varna at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 60% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 40%, shots finished 19-9.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Spartak Varna 1-3 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 50%, draw 24%, Slavia Sofia 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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