Hebar 1918 0-2 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
59%
-3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hebar 1918 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.85/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+2% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
246 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hebar 1918
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
17.03.2024 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.09.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-1 HT 1-0 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 BUL1
22.04.2023 Hebar 1918 Hebar 1918 0-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hebar 1918
0-2
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hebar 1918 vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali saw off Hebar 1918 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arda Kardzhali as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hebar 1918 had 47% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 53%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Hebar 1918 and 1.50 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of Hebar 1918 vs Arda Kardzhali?

Hebar 1918 0-2 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hebar 1918 vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hebar 1918 20%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
9 Dec 2024
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