Xelaju MC 1-0 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xelaju MC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.33/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.54
-4% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xelaju MC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-1 HT 1-1 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
22.09.2024 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 4-1 HT 3-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
14.04.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 1-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
05.11.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 0-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
28.05.2023 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC 3-0 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
25.05.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Xelaju MC Xelaju MC GUAT
POST-MATCH Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xelaju MC edged past Antigua GFC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Xelaju MC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Xelaju MC and 1.00 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Xelaju MC 1-0 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xelaju MC vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xelaju MC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Xelaju MC 46%, draw 33%, Antigua GFC 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xelaju MC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Xelaju MC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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