Independiente Medellin vs Junior Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente Medellin v Junior — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Junior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 2-1 Junior — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past Junior 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Independiente Medellin found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Independiente Medellin had 51% of the ball to Junior's 49%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.34 to 0.98.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Junior.
Independiente Medellin vs Junior Result & Final Score
Independiente Medellin 2 - 1 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente Medellin vs Junior Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 39%, draw 30%, Junior 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.