Junior 2-0 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 29%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.44/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.85
+69% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% / -28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.81
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 303
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.09.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
28.07.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.02.2024 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.12.2023 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
24.07.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
POST-MATCH Junior vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior beat Independiente Medellin 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Junior and 1.17 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Junior 2-0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Junior 37%, draw 32%, Independiente Medellin 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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