Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.6pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.05
-35% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.18 xG 0.65
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
14.09.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
02.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
19.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
09.04.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
30.08.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaguares De Cordoba squeezed past Envigado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jaguares De Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaguares De Cordoba had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 0.67 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado?

Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Cup on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaguares De Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 52%, draw 26%, Envigado 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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