Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.16/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.33
-16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
18.3 Crosses 12.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.43 xG 0.76
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 2-2 HT 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
19.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
09.04.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
30.08.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
26.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 3-1 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
23.10.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Envigado
1.41 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
338 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaguares De Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Envigado 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jaguares De Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jaguares De Cordoba had 54% of the ball to Envigado's 46%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.41 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Envigado led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.17 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado?

Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaguares De Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 42%, draw 29%, Envigado 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jaguares De Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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