Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.7pp
38%
Draw
33%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.26/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.25
-20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
17.5 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.01 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
286 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
11.04.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLK
04.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
23.10.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-4 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.05.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.04.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1-2
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.27 xG 0.84
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
283 Passes 197
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga squeezed past Patriotas Boyaca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 38% / 27%) promised a tight game; Atletico Bucaramanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 57% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 43%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.27 to 0.84 — on chances, Patriotas Boyaca could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 2.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 36%, draw 38%, Atletico Bucaramanga 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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