Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒03:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.6pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
6.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.09
+150% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -16%
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
334 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
23.10.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-4 HT 2-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
07.05.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
06.04.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
27.09.2020 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
25.08.2019 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga swept aside Patriotas Boyaca 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.00 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 58%, draw 21%, Patriotas Boyaca 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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