Llaneros 2-2 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llaneros EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 36%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
2.00/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.00
+61% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llaneros
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.03.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLK
16.03.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 1-1 HT 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
POST-MATCH Llaneros vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llaneros and Jaguares De Cordoba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Llaneros at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Jaguares De Cordoba led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Llaneros and 1.00 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Llaneros vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Llaneros 2-2 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llaneros vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llaneros win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Llaneros 45%, draw 29%, Jaguares De Cordoba 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Llaneros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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