Atletico Huila 2-0 Real Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
51%
-14.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Huila EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Cartagena EU Bookmakers 26%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.96/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.84
-39% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Huila
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Cartagena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
23.07.2022 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila 2-3 HT 1-1 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena KOLB
25.02.2022 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila KOLK
15.02.2022 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila KOLPB
11.02.2022 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena KOLK
09.04.2021 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila 4-1 HT 1-0 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena KOLB
18.03.2021 Atletico Huila Atletico Huila 2-3 HT 1-0 Real Cartagena Real Cartagena KOLK
POST-MATCH Atletico Huila vs Real Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Huila beat Real Cartagena 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Atletico Huila found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Huila and 1.33 for Real Cartagena.

What was the final score of Atletico Huila vs Real Cartagena?

Atletico Huila 2-0 Real Cartagena in the Colombia - Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Huila vs Real Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atletico Huila 36%, draw 26%, Real Cartagena 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Cartagena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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