Envigado 3-2 Deportes Quindio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 11 Apr 2024

📅11/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
35%
Draw
28%
+7.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.9pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Quindio EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportes Quindio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.54 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
408 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2021 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportes Quindio Deportes Quindio KOL
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Deportes Quindio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado edged past Deportes Quindio 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 26%) promised a tight game; Envigado found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Deportes Quindio?

Envigado 3-2 Deportes Quindio in the Colombia - Cup on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Deportes Quindio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 38%, draw 35%, Deportes Quindio 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Envigado) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Envigado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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