Independiente Medellin 2-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.20/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.52
-8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +125%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Junior
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 0.98
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.07.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.02.2024 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.12.2023 Junior Junior 3-2 HT 2-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
24.07.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
30.01.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin saw off Junior 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Independiente Medellin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.33 for Junior.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Junior?

Independiente Medellin 2-0 Junior in the Colombia - Cup on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 36%, draw 28%, Junior 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →