Junior 0-1 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Jun 2025

📅09/06/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.43/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.15
+28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
15.3 Crosses 13.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 0.74
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
258 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
07.04.2025 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
03.10.2024 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOLK
12.09.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK
28.07.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
02.02.2024 Junior Junior 3-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
14.12.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
0-1
AWAY Independiente Medellin
1.12 xG 0.88
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
286 Passes 193
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Junior vs Independiente Medellin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin nicked a narrow win over Junior 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Independiente Medellin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Junior had 58% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Junior and 0.67 for Independiente Medellin.

What was the final score of Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Junior 0-1 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Independiente Medellin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Junior 38%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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