Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Atletico Nacional 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe squeezed past Atletico Nacional 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Atletico Nacional carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 66% of the ball to Santa Fe's 34%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.50 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Atletico Nacional 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 09/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 55%, draw 22%, Santa Fe 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.