Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Santa Fe 2-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe and Atletico Nacional couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 38% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 62%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 2.07 to 2.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Santa Fe and 2.33 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Santa Fe 2-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 36%, draw 30%, Atletico Nacional 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.