Santa Fe 0-3 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Dec 2024

Santa Fe
0-3 HT 0-2
Atletico Nacional
📅09/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.59
Over 2.5
37%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.93/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.00
-14% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.0 Crosses 13.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.68 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 300
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.11.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-0 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
05.11.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
14.04.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
21.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.05.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
30.09.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL

Santa Fe 0-3 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-3
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.76 xG 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
259 Passes 322
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional ran out comfortable winners over Santa Fe 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Santa Fe had 47% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 53%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.76 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Santa Fe and 2.00 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?

Santa Fe 0-3 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 34%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/31/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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