Atletico Nacional 5-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Nov 2024

📅21/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.9pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+3.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.17/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.15
+4% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
18.7 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.15 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 Passes 283
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 14
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
14.04.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
21.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.05.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
30.09.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
29.03.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
5-0
AWAY Santa Fe
1.86 xG 0.74
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
476 Passes 218
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional swept aside Santa Fe 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day Atletico Nacional made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Nacional had 65% of the ball to Santa Fe's 35%, shots finished 25-12, expected goals 1.86 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.50 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Atletico Nacional 5-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 40%, draw 34%, Santa Fe 26%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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