Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Millonarios v Deportivo Pasto — Team-Based Signals
Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Millonarios
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pasto
KOL
0-1
HT 0-1
Millonarios
KOL
Millonarios 2-1 Deportivo Pasto — Actual Match Statistics
Millonarios squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Millonarios had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.63 to 1.36 — on chances, Deportivo Pasto could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 0.50 for Deportivo Pasto.
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
Millonarios 2-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 48%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pasto 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.