Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.23/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.27
-6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.3 Crosses 11.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.49 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
414 Passes 253
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.07.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
10.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.01.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
19.02.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
361 Passes 198
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios squeezed past Deportivo Pasto 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 39%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Millonarios and 0.67 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?

Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 47%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pasto 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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